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The Year in Review

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The Year in Review

Top twenty articles of 2022 and plans for the future

The Rational Walk
Dec 25, 2022
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The Year in Review

rationalwalk.substack.com

Dear Readers,

Rational Reflections grew rapidly in 2022. Total readership, counting both free and paid subscriptions, increased by 75%, with most of the growth taking place in the second half of the year. Whether you have been reading since the inaugural issue three years ago or just signed up recently, thank you for subscribing!

In 2022, I published the following content on Rational Reflections:

  • 57 Weekly Digests

  • 55 Articles

  • 11 Business Profiles

It has been a very busy and productive year! The following articles are all free to read and, based on my subjective opinion, represent the best content published in 2022.

Top Twenty Articles of 2022

  • The Futility of Hatred, January 3, 2022

  • The Anchoring Effect, January 19, 2022

  • Warren Buffett’s 2021 Letter, February 26, 2022

  • What Does Buffett See in Alleghany?, March 21, 2022

  • Necessary Inefficiency, March 29, 2022

  • Auto Insurance Competitive Dynamics, April 6, 2022

  • Business Lessons from Tom Murphy, April 8, 2022

  • The Trouble with FIRE, April 23, 2022

  • How Berkshire Could Deploy $6 Billion, April 26, 2022

  • Kidney Failure and the Dialysis Industry, May 14, 2022

  • Buffett’s Philanthropic Record, June 15, 2022

  • Survey of the Title Insurance Industry, June 27, 2022

  • Wealth Clarifies, July 17, 2022

  • Survey of the Automobile Industry, August 4, 2022

  • Berkshire Hathaway’s Distorted Quarterly Results, August 7, 2022

  • Dempster Mill Manufacturing Company, August 29, 2022

  • Greg Abel’s Bet on Berkshire Hathaway, October 7, 2022

  • Observations of a New Costco Member, October 18, 2022

  • A Closer Look at Berkshire’s Q3 2022 Operating Income, November 7, 2022

  • Exemplars, November 17, 2022


Plans for 2023

“On the one hand you have … is that information sort of wants to be expensive because it is so valuable — the right information in the right place just changes your life. On the other hand, information almost wants to be free because the costs of getting it out is getting lower and lower all of the time. So you have these two things fighting against each other.”

Stewart Brand, November 1, 1984

When I started Rational Reflections, my plan was to use the newsletter to send out links to content written by others while continuing to publish all of my original content on The Rational Walk, a website that I started in 2009. However, I soon learned that many readers prefer to receive all content via email, so Rational Reflections gradually evolved into the main distribution channel for all of my writing.

Stewart Brand, the founder of Whole Earth Catalog, was ahead of his times when he said that information wants to be free. The cost of distributing information is now essentially free. Authors can create a Substack publication and distribute content to thousands of subscribers at no cost other than their time. Of course, time itself is not free. Time is actually our most finite and precious resource, far more so than money.

As I began to spend most of my time on Rational Reflections, I started to think about how to create a sustainable economic model and decided to create a paid tier for the newsletter in April. Many longtime readers immediately subscribed even before it was clear precisely what they would receive in return. I am very grateful for that vote of confidence! By May, I settled on a strategy of publishing Business Profiles which would represent the main value proposition of a paid subscription. This helped to more than triple the number of paid subscribers between May and December.

There’s a balancing act when it comes to deciding what kind of content to keep free for the widest possible distribution and when to use paywalls. Almost all writers want to be read widely for various reasons, most often because they have a message that they want to send into the world to a broad audience. At the same time, it is necessary to build a sustainable economic model that can justify the time commitment.

Here is my current thinking for walking this tightrope next year.

The following types of articles will remain free for all readers in 2023:

  • Weekly Digest will remain free and essentially unchanged. However, I will attempt to find sponsors for Weekly Digests in 2023. I will never accept sponsors unless I am OK with what they are selling, nor will I provide subscriber lists. It will be entirely up to subscribers whether to click on sponsor related material. If your organization is interested in becoming a sponsor, please let me know.

  • Educational articles of high value to a broad audience will remain free. For example, my article on I Bonds in December 2020 alerted many readers to a safe way to earn returns above the typical 0% bank account. My article on the dialysis industry published in May opened some eyes to the terrible diabetes epidemic.

  • Book reviews and quarterly “What I’ve Been Reading” recaps will remain free. The exception will be if I cover a book that is closely related to a business profile or other premium content, or is unusually specialized or detailed in nature.

The following types of content will be restricted to paid subscribers in 2023:

  • Business Profiles require a significant time commitment and will be restricted to paid subscribers with the exception of occasional free samples. Free subscribers will receive introductions for profiles and have access to Twitter threads, such as this one on Progressive, where I provide introductory material. I am targeting at least ten profiles for 2023, which allows for the freedom to consider one or two profiles that might require research that cannot be completed in a single month. However, my goal remains to publish one profile per month unless I can really justify that taking more time will deliver commensurate value to subscribers.

  • Articles other than those targeting educational content or book reviews will be paywalled. This will be especially true for any kind of article related to companies that I’ve discussed in the past in business profiles.

  • I will paywall content on Berkshire Hathaway. I am reluctant to take this step, but as specialized content that takes considerable time to create, I feel that paywalling such material is justified. All of the Berkshire articles that appear in this year’s top twenty free listing above are the type that will be paywalled in 2023.

  • Discussions using the Substack comment feature will be restricted to paid subscribers for all paid content. In addition, if there is interest, I could open up threaded discussions or chats with paid subscribers during webcasted events such as the Berkshire and Daily Journal annual meetings. I often receive emails from subscribers and while I cannot commit to in-depth discussions on a one-on-one basis, some type of community discussion forum is possible if there is interest.

Whether to pay for a subscription or not is a personal decision and hopefully the information above will help you decide. Purchasing a paid subscription provides access to additional material but also helps to support development of all free content. Of course, if a paid subscription is not for you, please stay on as a free subscriber and refer your friends and colleagues as well!


Business Profile Library

Be sure to check out the Business Profile Library for quick access to PDF and Excel downloads for the entire archive which currently consists of eleven companies.

The Progressive Corporation

On December 21, I published a profile of Progressive, the third largest private passenger auto insurer in the United States and a fierce competitor of Berkshire Hathaway’s GEICO subsidiary.

Other Profiles

The library also includes profiles of Fastenal, Costco, Union Pacific, George Risk Industries, Burlington Northern Santa Fe, CarMax, Tractor Supply, Investors Title, America’s Car-Mart, and DaVita.

Free Sample Reports!

The George Risk Industries and CarMax profiles are free for everyone to read. If you find these profiles useful, purchasing a paid subscription unlocks access to the rest of the archive and you will receive all future profiles the moment they are published.

Rational Reflections is a reader supported publication and paid subscriptions make creating content possible. Your support is greatly appreciated!

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If you found this article interesting, please click on the ❤️️ button and consider sharing this issue with your friends and colleagues.

Thanks for reading!

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Copyright and Disclaimer

This newsletter is not investment advice and all content is subject to the copyright and disclaimer policy of The Rational Walk LLC, publisher of Rational Reflections.

The Rational Walk website was founded by Ravi Nagarajan in 2009 who is the author of all its content. The website contains over a thousand articles covering topics ranging from personal finance and investing to book reviews and philosophy. In addition, there is an extensive archive of articles related to Berkshire Hathaway.

Your privacy is taken very seriously. No email addresses or any other subscriber information is ever sold or provided to third parties. If you choose to unsubscribe at any time, you will no longer receive any further communications of any kind.

The Rational Walk is a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program designed to provide a means for sites to earn advertising fees by advertising and linking to Amazon.com.

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The Year in Review

rationalwalk.substack.com
3 Comments
Chris DeMuth Jr
Writes Vale Tudo
Dec 25, 2022Liked by The Rational Walk

Gratitude and admiration for this great content. I've enjoyed it and learned a lot. Trying to get a little better everyday. - C

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Jordan | The Wealth Letters
Writes The Wealth Letters
Dec 25, 2022Liked by The Rational Walk

Wow, what a year Ravi! Thank you for the time you commit, as well as the wisdom/insight you continue to consistently provide!

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